SIA share price in trouble
Time flies! It has been nearly three years since my last deep dive into SIA on 14 June 2023. Back then, the carrier was soaring on a post-pandemic tailwind, with SIA share price peaking at $7.80 just two days later. Fast forward to April 2026, the landscape has changed dramatically with the Iran war causing fuel price to spike. While SIA continues to fly record passenger numbers, SIA share price has suffered volatile swings and a failure to reclaim those 2023 highs. In this article, I will share why SIA share price could be in trouble.
It is well-known that SIA has spent decades trying to enter India market through its joint venture with Tata, Vistara, since 2015. Following Tata’s acquisition of the state-owned Air India in early 2022, SIA and Tata agreed to merge Vistara into Air India. In my view, the deal is a double-edged sword. While India provides massive hinterland for SIA to grow, it also exposes SIA to significant risk.
As of this month, Air India has reported record losses (roughly S$3 billion for the 2025/26 financial year). Given SIA’s 25.1% stake in Air India, this represented an estimated loss of S$750 million for SIA. The SIA-Air India saga in 2026 is almost a perfect rhyme of the Singtel-Bharti Airtel crisis of 2019/2020.
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